LNP ONE SHORT
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| Paul Tully is predicting a hung parliament. |
IPSWICH Labor identity Paul Tully is a psephologist (political number-cruncher) with a canny ability to predict polls more accurately than most.
I’m afraid he has bad news for the LNP.
He says Annastacia Palaszczuk and the ALP have run a professional grassroots campaign that will “bring home the bacon” in Labor’s must-win seats like Brisbane Central, Mount Coot-tha, Ipswich and Ipswich West.
His tips: “I have the ALP on a reasonably comfortable 37 seats (meaning to win back 28 seats) with a reasonable likelihood of winning another four, for a total of 41.
“The LNP would be left with 44 seats, one seat short of an absolute majority in the parliament. There are likely to be two Katter Party MPs and two independents. As a party must win 45 seats to gain an absolute majority out of 89 seats, I predict the likelihood of a hung parliament.”
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